For the period July 1 – July 31, 2024. Executive Summary Volatility returned to markets as investors grappled with mixed economic data, political headlines, second-quarter earnings, and central bank policy meetings. Despite the challenges, the totality of data suggests that the U.S. economy is still expanding, as investors eagerly await the Fed’s next move.

For the period November 1 to November 30, 2023. Executive Summary U.S. equity markets bounced back with historically strong returns in November as yields on longer-dated Treasuries declined. If inflation has been tamed and rate hikes are in the rearview mirror, a recession may be averted—but the era of interest rates anchored near zero may also be behind us.